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ISSUE 9
Fri 16 May 2008

Nancy v Rennes

Ligue 1 - Saturday 17 May 2008

Nancy, in 3rd, are needing a win to guarantee a qualification spot in next season's Champions League, whilst Rennes, in 7th, are still in the hunt for a UEFA Cup spot.

Nancy, though, have only won the once in five games (home against second-bottom Strasbourg), but have been unbeaten all season at home (13-5-0).

Nancy lost 0-1 at Lyon last week in another low-scoring game, Nancy conceding their 27th goal of the league season (the best defensive record in the league). In total, 27 of Nancy's 37 league games have seen under 2.5 goals.

Rennes are in good form and have lost just the once in 12 games (to title challenging Bordeaux) but have drawn four times (all away) in that run.

However, Rennes' surge up the table has largely been down to their recent home record (the 3-2 win over Toulouse last week being their 7th home victory of 2008), whilst away from home their only victory on the road in 2008 was at Monaco; but, in that time, they have drawn six times on the road.

In those eight away games since the start of January, Rennes have managed to keep just the one clean sheet. Nancy, meanwhile, have only failed to score in one of 18 home games.

Nancy's unbeaten home record and Rennes' tendency to draw their away games, points the way for a draw. Nancy are always likely to score at home and Rennes have not been too tight defensively, so a correct score of 1-1 might be worth considering too.

Stake: 3pts
Bet: Draw
Odds: $3.65
Bookmaker: Expekt

Stake: 0.5pts
Bet: Correct score, 1-1 draw
Odds: $7.00
Bookmaker: Bet365


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ISSUE 9
Fri 16 May 2008

Lens v Bordeaux

Ligue 1 - Saturday 17 May 2008

Lens have won only once in their last 14 league games and are in serious danger of relegation going into their final game at home to Bordeaux; they are sitting in 18th place equal on points with Toulouse who are, as it stands, safe on goal difference.

Toulouse are also struggling but they are at home to Valenciennes, who have little to play for, so Lens will need a big win (or for Toulouse to lose heavily) to overturn a 2 goal deficit with Toulouse.

One of only 2 home wins for Lens since early November was against champions and current leaders Lyon (3-0) in January and this will give them hope of survival, but their home record against the top ten is more representative of their standard this season (3-3-3).

Lens face a Bordeaux side in superb form; Bordeaux are unbeaten in 7, winning 6 of those games and gaining 7 more points than Lyon in that time in an impressive push for the title.

Bordeaux are 2 points behind Lyon in 2nd place, and will need the leaders to lose to have a chance of taking the title.

Bordeaux are 6-1-2 this season away to sides in the bottom half and in all 6 of those wins they have kept the clean sheet; the win to nothing can be considered but the fixed odds are attractive enough on their own.

Bordeaux will need Lyon to slip up, but they should not encounter too many problems against a Lens side that look certain to be relegated; Gamebookers’ $2.50 for the away win with Bordeaux in tremendous form is a price worth taking.

Stake: 6pts
Bet: Bordeaux to win
Odds: $2.50
Bookmaker: Gamebookers


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